Unit 16:  The End Game   The Downing Street Declaration, and the Ceasefires

Commentary

The violence of 1993 looked to derail the peace process and set Northern Ireland on the road to another 25 years of bloodshed.  However, after the horrible violence of October 1993, the Irish and British Governments issued the Downing Street Declaration (DSD) in December 1993. This was the beginning of the “endgame.” Billy Hutchinson said in 1995:  The Downing Street Declaration came at the right time.  It was a flawed, but balanced document. (personal interview 1995). The IRA in its ceasefire statement recognized this also stating:  “We note that the Downing Street Declaration is not a solution, nor was it presented as such by its authors.” They, as the Loyalists did, recognized that this could be the basis of a negotiated settlement. (To see a different analysis of how the IRA leadership viewed and used the statement go back to Moloney's chapter on the Ceasefire.)

However, before either side could get to the ceasefires, the violence continued.  But, at least now there was something concrete politically to work with. The antagonists really were beginning to move the military conflict into the political arena.  So, along with the "secret” contacts taking place between the different paramilitary groups, the contacts between the IRA and the British Government, and the Republic of Ireland and the CLMC, there at least appeared to be a way out of the terrible violence and particularly the violence of 1993-1994.  When looking back on this period Gusty Spence said:  “The public looked into the abyss.  We have been in the abyss.  We have clawed our way out of the abyss . . .” and the DSD is what gave them a chance to claw out of that abyss. 

Required Readings

Commentary (cont.): The 1994 Ceasefires

“IT’S OVER” blared the headlines of the Belfast Telegraph of 31 August 1994. After 25 long, bloody and torturous years the “war” was over.  Many in Northern Ireland, particularly the nationalist areas, celebrated the ceasefire and hoped the “war” was truly and finally over.  Or was it?  That is a question we will deal with later. We do know from recent events and the bombing at Canary Wharf in 1996 and the continuing sectarian attacks in Northern Ireland that it is not completely over.  There may be peace, but in this context that really means an absence of war.  It is really an “Armed Peace” where all sides view each other warily while holding on to their arsenals, spies and preparing for war if indeed it comes again.  Still what has happened is that the military struggle has, for the most part, been transformed into a political struggle.  In this section we will study and analyze why these ceasefires occurred at this point and what was necessary to make these ceasefires happen.

Required Reading

For Background on the Loyalist Ceasefire

RECOMMENDED READING FOR POST-CEASEFIRE AND POST-GOOD FRIDAY AGREEMENT:

Study Questions

These are “thought” questions for you.  After reading and listening to the two ceasefire statements contrast them and analyze them. Then answer the following questions for yourself.

  1. What do you see as the main differences, if any between the two Cease-Fire statements?

    1. What are they really saying?

    2. What aren’t they saying?

    3. What role do you think religion played ,if any, in the phrasing of the statements?

  2. Is the war over for the IRA? 

    1. For the CLMC?

  3. Has the conflict moved into a different arena?